All the Polls are Bullshit

Don't pay attention to them

Oct 23, 2024

Just vote. And encourage anyone you speak with to vote for the only choice we have to maintain our democracy. Talk them out of their one issue concern about Harris. The only issues are reproductive freedom and adherence to the Constitution and the Rule of Law.

One of the most respected pollsters and interpreters of voter sentiment is Nate Silver. He established his creds at “538”. And now he is involved with “predictive models”. Basically measuring how people are betting on the election. He is saying Trump will win.

Nate is smart - but completely fallible. If track records are a measure of success, Nate is a flop of epic proportions. He’s good at explaining and rationalizing. But he is just a guy who puts his pants on every day like everyone else. And he can’t read the minds of millions of Americans. Millions who are outraged about the issues of reproductive freedom (and health!) …. and the threats to democracy itself.

Here is what Nate said in November of 2016.

Who will win the presidency?

Chance of winning